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Central banks and rates

Fed, ECB and Bank of England decisions, speeches and market pricing for the next move.

Fed rate decisions study

A 29,000-job September meets a Fed that just restarted hiking

The Fed's first hike of a new cycle came just over two weeks before a weak payrolls print. History after first hikes is mixed for stocks over a month.

Oct 6S&P 500, US 2-year Treasury yield, US 10-year Treasury yield, US dollar index (DXY)

Yields at 24-year highs while the Nasdaq keeps setting records

The 30-year yield closed at its highest in over 24 years on the same day the Nasdaq printed its 23rd record of 2026.

Oct 6Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, US 10-year Treasury yield, Nvidia

The euro slides to a 17-month low despite two ECB hikes

French fiscal worries hit the CAC 40 while the dollar rose with Treasury yields.

Oct 6EUR/USD, CAC 40, Euro Stoxx 50, DAX

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Not investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.