Market SeasonalityFree alerts

Political posts and headlines

Posts, speeches, elections and policy headlines that move markets, starting with tariffs.

Tariff headline study

Tariff threats of up to 300%: what past tariff headlines did to markets

A rally speech named South Korea, China, Japan and Canada. Past escalation headlines have hit Asian exporters and oil hardest within a week.

Oct 6KOSPI, Nikkei 225, Hang Seng, S&P 500

Brazil's first-round surprise sends the Ibovespa to a record

Flavio Bolsonaro edged Lula in the first round. The runoff is on October 25, and the Ibovespa closed at a record.

Oct 6Ibovespa, USD/BRL

The euro slides to a 17-month low despite two ECB hikes

French fiscal worries hit the CAC 40 while the dollar rose with Treasury yields.

Oct 6EUR/USD, CAC 40, Euro Stoxx 50, DAX

The midterm-year fourth quarter has been the strongest stretch of the four-year cycle

2026 is a US midterm year. Since 1928 the S&P 500 has risen in most midterm-year fourth quarters.

Oct 6S&P 500, Russell 2000

Get alerts on political posts and headlines

Free during launch. Pick your markets and topics; we email when something relevant happens, with sources and history attached.

Build a free watchlist

Not investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.