US indices
4 markets. The October columns show each market's average move and pattern rating this month.
| Market | Last | Day | 1 month | Year to date | Oct average | Oct pattern |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 7,818.93 | +0.58% | +1.30% | +14.22% | +0.55% | no clear pattern |
| Nasdaq Composite | 27,599.79 | +0.45% | +4.12% | +18.75% | +0.77% | no clear pattern |
| Dow Jones Industrial Average | 51,521.28 | +0.49% | -3.54% | +7.19% | +1.75% | moderate |
| Russell 2000 | 2,830.30 | -0.59% | -4.88% | +14.04% | -0.54% | no clear pattern |
Latest insights
A 29,000-job September meets a Fed that just restarted hiking
The Fed's first hike of a new cycle came just over two weeks before a weak payrolls print. History after first hikes is mixed for stocks over a month.
Yields at 24-year highs while the Nasdaq keeps setting records
The 30-year yield closed at its highest in over 24 years on the same day the Nasdaq printed its 23rd record of 2026.
Tariff threats of up to 300%: what past tariff headlines did to markets
A rally speech named South Korea, China, Japan and Canada. Past escalation headlines have hit Asian exporters and oil hardest within a week.
Third-quarter earnings season starts with the big banks on October 13
Bank results will be the first read on loan demand and trading under a hiking Fed. A $22.6bn deal shows how fast single-stock moves can be.
The midterm-year fourth quarter has been the strongest stretch of the four-year cycle
2026 is a US midterm year. Since 1928 the S&P 500 has risen in most midterm-year fourth quarters.
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