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Nickel: seasonality, event history and insights

In October, Nickel has averaged -1.38% and risen in 47% of 34 years (1992 to 2025). We rate the October pattern as no clear pattern.

Latest monthly average: 16,632.36 (2026-07), -5.44% on the month.

+4.8%+2.4%-2.4%-4.8%Jan: average +4.76%, up in 71% of 34 yearsJanFeb: average +2.29%, up in 69% of 35 yearsFebMar: average +0.90%, up in 43% of 35 yearsMarApr: average +0.79%, up in 46% of 35 yearsAprMay: average +0.51%, up in 51% of 35 yearsMayJun: average -2.44%, up in 29% of 35 yearsJunJul: average -0.26%, up in 43% of 35 yearsJulAug: average +0.63%, up in 41% of 34 yearsAugSep: average -0.20%, up in 44% of 34 yearsSepOct: average -1.38%, up in 47% of 34 yearsOctNov: average -0.50%, up in 38% of 34 yearsNovDec: average +0.96%, up in 53% of 34 yearsDec
Nickel: average return by calendar month, 1992 to 2026. Solid bars held the same direction in both halves of the sample; faded bars did not.

Month by month

MonthAverageMedianUp yearsLast 10 yearsBestWorstYearsPattern
January+4.76%+6.33%71%+3.88%+19.03% 2026-9.12% 201734strong
February+2.29%+2.14%69%+2.05%+15.26% 2000-12.14% 199535strong
March+0.90%-1.25%43%+1.78%+41.26% 2022-12.87% 202335no clear pattern
April+0.79%-0.17%46%-0.04%+20.79% 2006-7.69% 200435no clear pattern
May+0.51%+1.35%51%-0.50%+17.21% 2006-15.75% 201035no clear pattern
June-2.44%-3.98%29%-2.30%+21.11% 2004-19.76% 200735strong
July-0.26%-0.67%43%-0.86%+27.20% 2006-19.62% 200735no clear pattern
August+0.63%-1.33%41%+3.82%+20.97% 2009-17.22% 200734no clear pattern
September-0.20%-1.23%44%+0.98%+12.12% 2019-10.17% 200934no clear pattern
October-1.38%-0.07%47%-0.74%+10.45% 2003-31.70% 200834no clear pattern
November-0.50%-2.02%38%+0.13%+16.02% 2022-11.53% 199234no clear pattern
December+0.96%+0.70%53%-0.15%+17.70% 2003-14.59% 200734no clear pattern

Returns from the last close of the previous month to the last close of the month. IMF monthly average price, via FRED. Source: FRED (PNICKUSDM). Download monthly data (CSV).

What drives Nickel

Sell in May for Nickel

From 1993 to 2025, the November to April half averaged +9.89% and the May to October half -0.37%. The winter half did better in 64% of 33 years. Compare all markets.

Year by year

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
202619.0-3.0-0.64.65.2-6.4-5.4
2025-0.4-0.65.0-5.61.4-2.30.2-0.61.0-0.1-2.81.4
2024-2.01.46.54.28.0-10.6-6.7-0.2-0.83.7-6.2-1.8
2023-2.5-5.5-12.92.1-6.9-4.1-0.7-3.1-3.9-7.0-6.8-3.4
202211.77.441.3-2.3-14.8-8.3-17.02.63.4-3.316.013.4
20216.24.0-11.70.76.52.14.71.71.2-0.13.00.4
2020-2.3-5.9-6.8-0.43.24.55.38.81.92.63.76.4
20196.310.12.7-1.9-5.9-0.613.416.312.1-3.5-11.0-8.8
201811.95.7-1.54.13.15.2-8.7-2.8-6.7-1.6-8.7-3.6
2017-9.16.7-4.1-5.8-4.7-2.46.314.73.01.15.6-4.0
2016-2.3-2.55.01.9-2.53.114.90.7-1.40.78.5-1.4
2015-7.0-1.9-5.6-6.75.3-5.1-11.0-9.0-4.33.8-10.4-5.8
20141.30.710.410.811.7-4.02.6-2.7-3.0-12.3-0.01.0
20130.31.1-5.4-6.6-4.4-4.5-3.74.1-3.52.3-3.11.8
20129.12.4-8.5-4.1-5.2-2.1-2.9-2.610.1-0.7-4.86.8
20116.310.9-6.0-1.4-8.2-7.26.4-8.3-6.8-6.6-6.12.1

Monthly change in percent. Most recent years at the top.

Latest insights on Nickel

No insights yet. New ones are added every weekday morning.

Questions

What is the best month for Nickel?

Since 1992, January has had the highest average move for Nickel at +4.76%, rising in 71% of 34 years. January has the highest share of positive years (71%).

What is the worst month for Nickel?

June has had the weakest average move at -2.44%, rising in 29% of 35 years.

How does Nickel usually do in October?

Nickel has averaged -1.38% in October (median -0.07%), rising in 47% of 34 years. We rate the pattern as no clear pattern.

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Not investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.