Home / Months / FebruaryWhat usually happens in February
The most consistent February strength has come from Bitcoin (+10.19%, up 75% of years), Nvidia (+7.42%, up 68% of years), Lean hogs (+6.00%, up 73% of years), Gasoline (RBOB) (+4.39%, up 62% of years). The most consistent weakness: Alphabet (-2.96%, up 36% of years), European natural gas (TTF) (-2.65%, up 6% of years).
For the S&P 500, February has averaged -0.11% with gains in 52% of years, and an average absolute move of 3.12%.
Every market in February US indices European indices Asia and emerging markets Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Hang Seng +2.30% +1.46% 60% 40 moderate Ibovespa +2.22% +0.67% 58% 33 no clear pattern Nikkei 225 +0.76% +0.63% 56% 62 no clear pattern BIST 100 +0.58% +0.44% 52% 29 no clear pattern KOSPI +0.30% +0.43% 53% 30 no clear pattern
US stocks European stocks Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Novo Nordisk +2.90% +4.90% 73% 26 moderate Airbus +2.81% +3.39% 72% 25 strong LVMH +1.71% +1.53% 59% 27 weak Nestlé +1.67% +2.70% 73% 37 strong TotalEnergies +1.32% +2.46% 63% 27 weak Shell +0.67% +1.13% 60% 30 weak Siemens +0.38% -1.06% 47% 30 no clear pattern SAP +0.12% -0.82% 43% 28 no clear pattern Allianz -0.08% +2.31% 60% 30 no clear pattern ASML -0.47% -0.53% 50% 28 no clear pattern
Crypto Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern BNB +48.97% +5.42% 56% 9 no clear pattern Solana +28.62% -4.36% 33% 6 no clear pattern Bitcoin +10.19% +11.86% 75% 12 strong Ether +4.26% +7.69% 67% 9 weak XRP -5.51% -7.19% 33% 9 weak
Energy Metals Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Copper +2.93% +2.01% 65% 26 strong Platinum +2.39% +1.94% 65% 26 moderate Silver +2.33% +3.01% 54% 26 no clear pattern Nickel +2.29% +2.14% 69% 35 strong Palladium +1.91% +2.17% 59% 27 no clear pattern Gold +1.23% +0.87% 58% 26 no clear pattern Aluminium +0.97% +0.50% 57% 35 no clear pattern
Grains and oilseeds Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Soybeans +3.43% +2.44% 65% 26 strong Corn +1.35% +2.20% 62% 26 no clear pattern Wheat +0.60% -1.66% 42% 26 no clear pattern
Softs Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Cocoa +2.25% +3.29% 59% 27 no clear pattern Cotton +1.92% +0.52% 56% 27 no clear pattern Coffee (Arabica) +0.50% -0.66% 41% 27 no clear pattern Sugar +0.01% +0.11% 50% 26 no clear pattern
Livestock Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern Lean hogs +6.00% +5.67% 73% 26 strong Live cattle +1.48% +2.53% 75% 24 strong
Rates Currencies Market Average Median Up years Years Pattern USD/TRY +0.88% +1.10% 68% 22 strong USD/JPY +0.62% +0.44% 53% 30 no clear pattern USD/BRL +0.29% -0.60% 43% 21 no clear pattern US dollar index (DXY) -0.07% +0.07% 52% 56 no clear pattern EUR/USD -0.25% -0.12% 39% 23 no clear pattern GBP/USD -0.38% -0.22% 43% 23 no clear pattern
Pattern ratings combine consistency across both halves of the sample, the share of up years and a t-statistic. See the methodology .
January · March
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