Palladium: seasonality, event history and insights
In October, Palladium has averaged +0.65% and risen in 56% of 27 years (1998 to 2025). We rate the October pattern as no clear pattern.
Last close 1,163.60 on October 6, 2026: -0.31% on the day, -28.58% this year, -3.15% so far in October.
Month by month
| Month | Average | Median | Up years | Last 10 years | Best | Worst | Years | Pattern |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | +3.44% | +3.63% | 67% | +4.75% | +23.12% | -17.63% | 27 | strong |
| February | +1.91% | +2.17% | 59% | +1.12% | +46.89% | -20.65% | 27 | no clear pattern |
| March | -0.17% | +2.86% | 57% | -1.71% | +26.53% | -25.13% | 28 | no clear pattern |
| April | -0.14% | +2.61% | 58% | +0.28% | +16.02% | -16.34% | 26 | no clear pattern |
| May | -2.69% | -3.07% | 31% | -4.54% | +18.59% | -16.75% | 26 | strong |
| June | -1.54% | -2.24% | 36% | +1.20% | +14.88% | -16.51% | 28 | weak |
| July | +3.16% | +4.43% | 73% | +3.24% | +26.24% | -23.08% | 26 | strong |
| August | -1.46% | -0.90% | 46% | +0.43% | +10.88% | -20.75% | 26 | no clear pattern |
| September | -0.47% | +2.95% | 68% | +1.50% | +14.32% | -26.09% | 28 | no clear pattern |
| October | +0.65% | +1.39% | 56% | -0.54% | +14.34% | -15.83% | 27 | no clear pattern |
| November | +1.03% | +1.65% | 59% | +1.45% | +24.97% | -19.95% | 27 | no clear pattern |
| December | +4.76% | +4.66% | 68% | +3.05% | +27.85% | -12.04% | 28 | strong |
What drives Palladium
- Petrol-car autocatalysts; supply concentrated in Russia and South Africa.
- Electric vehicles reduce long-run demand.
Sell in May for Palladium
From 1999 to 2025, the November to April half averaged +12.14% and the May to October half +3.50%. The winter half did better in 64% of 25 years. Compare all markets.
Year by year
Latest insights on Palladium
Questions
What is the best month for Palladium?
Since 1998, December has had the highest average move for Palladium at +4.76%, rising in 68% of 28 years. July has the highest share of positive years (73%).
What is the worst month for Palladium?
May has had the weakest average move at -2.69%, rising in 31% of 26 years.
How does Palladium usually do in October?
Palladium has averaged +0.65% in October (median +1.39%), rising in 56% of 27 years. We rate the pattern as no clear pattern.
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Build a free watchlistNot investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.