From seasonality
Markets entering the months where they have moved most consistently.
Bitcoin: October has been its strongest month
- Up in 75% of 12 years
- Median +12.94%
- So far this month +2.40%
Since 2014, Bitcoin has moved +16.63% on average in October and finished the month higher in 75% of 12 years. The direction held in both halves of the history. This October it is +2.40% so far, in line with the usual direction.
Alphabet: October has been its strongest month
- Up in 73% of 22 years
- Median +9.20%
- So far this month +1.05%
Since 2004, Alphabet has moved +8.69% on average in October and finished the month higher in 73% of 22 years. The direction held in both halves of the history. This October it is +1.05% so far, in line with the usual direction.
ASML: October has been one of its strongest months
- Up in 68% of 28 years
- Median +4.46%
- So far this month +2.48%
Since 1998, ASML has moved +7.52% on average in October and finished the month higher in 68% of 28 years. The direction held in both halves of the history. This October it is +2.48% so far, in line with the usual direction.
Apple: October has been its strongest month
- Up in 69% of 45 years
- Median +6.03%
- So far this month +0.18%
Since 1981, Apple has moved +6.17% on average in October and finished the month higher in 69% of 45 years. The direction held in both halves of the history. This October it is +0.18% so far, in line with the usual direction.
Lean hogs: October has been one of its weakest months
- Up in 28% of 25 years
- Median -6.30%
- So far this month -1.02%
Since 2001, Lean hogs has moved -5.56% on average in October and finished the month higher in 28% of 25 years. The direction held in both halves of the history. This October it is -1.02% so far, in line with the usual direction.
Airbus: October has been its strongest month
- Up in 72% of 25 years
- Median +4.78%
- So far this month -1.37%
Since 2001, Airbus has moved +4.97% on average in October and finished the month higher in 72% of 25 years. The direction held in both halves of the history. This October it is -1.37% so far, against the usual direction.
Nvidia: next month, November, has been one of its strongest months
- Up in 78% of 27 years
- Median +7.77%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 1999, Nvidia has moved +9.79% on average in November and finished the month higher in 78% of 27 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
LVMH: October has been its strongest month
- Up in 73% of 26 years
- Median +4.79%
- So far this month -1.13%
Since 2000, LVMH has moved +4.30% on average in October and finished the month higher in 73% of 26 years. The direction held in both halves of the history. This October it is -1.13% so far, against the usual direction.
Live cattle: October has been its strongest month
- Up in 68% of 25 years
- Median +2.22%
- So far this month +1.17%
Since 2001, Live cattle has moved +2.80% on average in October and finished the month higher in 68% of 25 years. The direction held in both halves of the history. This October it is +1.17% so far, in line with the usual direction.
ASML: next month, November, has been one of its strongest months
- Up in 68% of 28 years
- Median +4.90%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 1998, ASML has moved +5.83% on average in November and finished the month higher in 68% of 28 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
Siemens: next month, November, has been its strongest month
- Up in 83% of 29 years
- Median +3.26%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 1997, Siemens has moved +5.56% on average in November and finished the month higher in 83% of 29 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
Allianz: next month, November, has been its strongest month
- Up in 76% of 29 years
- Median +4.39%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 1997, Allianz has moved +4.24% on average in November and finished the month higher in 76% of 29 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
Walmart: next month, November, has been its strongest month
- Up in 70% of 54 years
- Median +5.61%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 1972, Walmart has moved +3.61% on average in November and finished the month higher in 70% of 54 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
Eli Lilly: next month, November, has been its strongest month
- Up in 70% of 54 years
- Median +2.98%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 1972, Eli Lilly has moved +3.09% on average in November and finished the month higher in 70% of 54 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
Novo Nordisk: next month, November, has been a historically firm month
- Up in 76% of 25 years
- Median +2.23%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 2001, Novo Nordisk has moved +2.80% on average in November and finished the month higher in 76% of 25 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
Berkshire Hathaway: next month, November, has been its strongest month
- Up in 77% of 30 years
- Median +2.95%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 1996, Berkshire Hathaway has moved +2.72% on average in November and finished the month higher in 77% of 30 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
Dow Jones Industrial Average: next month, November, has been its strongest month
- Up in 76% of 34 years
- Median +3.00%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 1992, Dow Jones Industrial Average has moved +2.69% on average in November and finished the month higher in 76% of 34 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
Natural gas (Henry Hub): October has been one of its strongest months
- Up in 65% of 26 years
- Median +4.17%
- So far this month +2.91%
Since 2000, Natural gas (Henry Hub) has moved +7.37% on average in October and finished the month higher in 65% of 26 years. The direction held in both halves of the history. This October it is +2.91% so far, in line with the usual direction.
Russell 2000: next month, November, has been one of its strongest months
- Up in 69% of 39 years
- Median +3.01%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 1987, Russell 2000 has moved +2.24% on average in November and finished the month higher in 69% of 39 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
Nasdaq Composite: next month, November, has been one of its strongest months
- Up in 71% of 55 years
- Median +2.35%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 1971, Nasdaq Composite has moved +2.06% on average in November and finished the month higher in 71% of 55 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
Swiss Market Index: next month, November, has been its strongest month
- Up in 77% of 35 years
- Median +1.51%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 1991, Swiss Market Index has moved +1.82% on average in November and finished the month higher in 77% of 35 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
Tesla: next month, November, has been its strongest month
- Up in 69% of 16 years
- Median +4.34%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 2010, Tesla has moved +10.60% on average in November and finished the month higher in 69% of 16 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
Microsoft: October has been one of its strongest months
- Up in 65% of 40 years
- Median +4.05%
- So far this month +3.20%
Since 1986, Microsoft has moved +4.89% on average in October and finished the month higher in 65% of 40 years. The direction held in both halves of the history. This October it is +3.20% so far, in line with the usual direction.
DAX: October has been a historically firm month
- Up in 68% of 38 years
- Median +2.41%
- So far this month +0.99%
Since 1988, DAX has moved +1.99% on average in October and finished the month higher in 68% of 38 years. The direction held in both halves of the history. This October it is +0.99% so far, in line with the usual direction.
IBEX 35: October has been one of its strongest months
- Up in 67% of 33 years
- Median +2.27%
- So far this month +0.09%
Since 1993, IBEX 35 has moved +1.76% on average in October and finished the month higher in 67% of 33 years. The direction held in both halves of the history. This October it is +0.09% so far, in line with the usual direction.
CAC 40: October has been one of its strongest months
- Up in 72% of 36 years
- Median +1.99%
- So far this month -1.25%
Since 1990, CAC 40 has moved +1.75% on average in October and finished the month higher in 72% of 36 years. The direction held in both halves of the history. This October it is -1.25% so far, against the usual direction.
Amazon: next month, November, has been one of its strongest months
- Up in 72% of 29 years
- Median +6.16%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 1997, Amazon has moved +6.72% on average in November and finished the month higher in 72% of 29 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
Shell: October has been one of its strongest months
- Up in 70% of 30 years
- Median +2.44%
- So far this month +2.28%
Since 1996, Shell has moved +1.60% on average in October and finished the month higher in 70% of 30 years. The direction held in both halves of the history. This October it is +2.28% so far, in line with the usual direction.
Swiss Market Index: October has been one of its strongest months
- Up in 69% of 35 years
- Median +1.40%
- So far this month -0.30%
Since 1991, Swiss Market Index has moved +1.26% on average in October and finished the month higher in 69% of 35 years. The direction held in both halves of the history. This October it is -0.30% so far, against the usual direction.
Ibovespa: next month, November, has been one of its strongest months
- Up in 61% of 33 years
- Median +2.03%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 1993, Ibovespa has moved +4.67% on average in November and finished the month higher in 61% of 33 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
Gasoline (RBOB): next month, November, has been one of its weakest months
- Up in 28% of 25 years
- Median -2.98%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 2001, Gasoline (RBOB) has moved -3.45% on average in November and finished the month higher in 28% of 25 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
USD/TRY: next month, November, has been one of its strongest months
- Up in 76% of 21 years
- Median +1.01%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 2005, USD/TRY has moved +2.85% on average in November and finished the month higher in 76% of 21 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
DAX: next month, November, has been one of its strongest months
- Up in 66% of 38 years
- Median +2.87%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 1988, DAX has moved +2.61% on average in November and finished the month higher in 66% of 38 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
USD/BRL: next month, November, has been its strongest month
- Up in 65% of 20 years
- Median +2.47%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 2006, USD/BRL has moved +2.31% on average in November and finished the month higher in 65% of 20 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
IBEX 35: next month, November, has been its strongest month
- Up in 67% of 33 years
- Median +1.73%
- Pattern rated strong
Since 1993, IBEX 35 has moved +2.09% on average in November and finished the month higher in 67% of 33 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
German 10-year Bund yield: next month, November, has been one of its weakest months
- Up in 30% of 70 years
- Median -3 bp
- Pattern rated strong
Since 1956, German 10-year Bund yield has moved -4 bp on average in November and finished the month higher in 30% of 70 years. The direction held in both halves of the history.
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Not investment advice. Market Seasonality publishes historical statistics, news summaries and scenario analysis for information and education. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, and scenarios describe possible paths without predicting them. See the disclaimer and methodology.